Guardian ( Trinidad and Tobago ) 10 April 2023 ( Page 9 )
‘There is pain around the corner’ By Tony Rakhal-Fraser Wendell Mottley on the current state of T&T: Continuing from the life achievements of Wendell Mottley, started in the Sunday Guardian, as the T&T international quarter-miler, he finished his MSc at Cambridge and returned home. With a sense of prescience, Mottley, the economist and development planner, was employed by the South Chamber of Commerce as its executive director with the board including businessmen such as Robert Montano, Hugh Gransaul, Sydney Knox and Krishna Narinesingh. They began to conceive of an industrial park at Point Lisas. These forward-looking businessmen took the idea as far as they could with the projection to have constructed chemical plants, a deep-water harbour and the fabrication of industrial goods at the south-central site close to the Brechin Castle Sugar factory— developmentally and psychologically, a shift in economic activity from agriculture to industry. Eventually, Prime Minister Dr Eric Williams, with Professor Ken Julien as his technical guru, took over and operationalised the thoughts of the businessmen. Fittingly, Mottley was to return to be part of the team to expand in earnest the production of natural gas and other chemicals which, with high prices and massive production kicked the economy into high gear. But prior to those events and developments, Mottley had been involved in the construction of the housing estate at Santa Rosa. “It was at that point that then Prime Minister George Chambers (Dr Williams having passed) called me and asked me to be Minister of Housing in his Cabinet after the 1981 general elections. “I had no intention of entering politics, but Prime Minister Chambers was very persuasive and I accepted the invitation,” says Mottley, “and there was no looking back.” After the PNM lost the 1986 general elections, swamped by the National Alliance for Reconstruction, Mottley joined Patrick Manning, Keith Rowley, Ken Valley and others in an attempt to refloat the PNM. At the demise of the NAR of 1986-1991, and the victory of the PNM in the 1991 general election, Mottley was elevated to the position of finance minister with the responsibility to turn around an economy that had gone through a disastrous period when the consequences of the crash in oil and energy prices visited the nation like a plague of old. He tells of a very important and instructive recovery and expansion of the base of the economy. “We embarked on a series of very profound changes in how to make Trinidad and Tobago competitive, starting from 1991 with an overvalued exchange rate. But we did not want to just devalue; we set up a system where the exchange rate would help us. “And at that time too there were the Lok Jacks and the Bermudez and so forth who were into serious manufacturing. And out of deep consultations with Bobb (Dr Euric Bobb), my Cambridge colleague, who had resigned from the Central Bank, we designed a floating exchange rate; not just a devaluation, not by itself, it comes after a series of reforms we targeted in 1991 in discussion with the manufacturers and business associations. “We revived Pt Lisas and worked with Amoco in changing the energy taxation regime; it was deep structural reform and Ken Julien was working to start new manufacturing at Pt. Lisas and then comes liberalisation as part of a wider reform. “Give PM Manning his due, he was part of it and some of it was painful; the quiet role of Lenny Saith, very supportive of me, was also important. And then finally the economy turns in 1993, the exchange rate change was in 1992 and the robust swing of the economy turns in 1994.” Mottley acknowledges that the upward movement in energy prices “helped and then T&T developed on our Caricom based competitiveness.” A high-point of his satisfaction came in laying the 1994 Budget in Parliament: “After a decade of pain we are moving up and we stayed moving up for a decade thereafter.” The then Finance Minister recalls in writing the budget, he had the assistance of young economists in the Ministry, one of them being Vishnu Dhanpaul. “I wanted a budget which the people of Trinidad and Tobago could feel part of. With Vishnu’s assistance, I opened the budget statement with a phrase simultaneously looking across at Panday and his team and said that ‘Mother Lakshmi has smiled on us.’ We have reason to celebrate as a nation. And that for me was the height of my political career.” Wall Street, New York, as an international banker with First Boston (Credit Suisse) was his next stop. He was invited there by Adebayo Ogunlesi, who was the banker who persuaded his seniors to lend to T&T US$100 million when the economy was starved of forex and when borrowing was almost impossible because of the state of the economy here. “First Boston sought to put together pension funds to structure the loan, but then found no one interested and had to eat the loan and hold it on their books. “But I did what was right for T&T and our reforms and our ratings improved and the value of that loan at First Boston went up and they made a killing. I had an American wife and I had to go earn some money,” was one element of the motivation of Mottley proceeding to New York and international banking. Now relaxed and chatting with me in the Green Market of his wife, Vicki, the American he brought to Trinidad 30 years ago and “who is now more Trini than me,” Mottley is contemplative of the current situation. “There is pain around the corner and I fear that a careless political statement can exacerbate the conditions. Trinidad and Tobago needs another intervention,” says the former track star and minister of finance. Photo -Wendell Mottley during the interview.